Conviction Through Confluence


After a month of consolidation around the $20k zone, Bitcrypto prices have experienced a much awaited relief rally. Momentum in the short term is favorable, however remains weighed down by longer-term macro indicators that time may be required to form a firm foundation.

Conviction Through Confluence

After a month of consolidation, Bitcrypto prices experienced a long awaited relief rally, closing 9% above the weekly open. Price action opened at $20,781, rallied into a peak of $24.179, before pulling back towards the highs of the consolidation range over the weekend.

In this edition, we will assess the sustainability of the current market rally through the following concepts:

  • Assess price zones of interest from supply concentrations, technical, and on-chain pricing models.
  • Evaluate the market reaction to many metrics reaching statistically significant over-correction.
  • Gauge the strength of the upwards move by assessing confluence through momentum oscillators (MRGO and moving averages).

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